Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 13.091725 15.332301 17.779261 20.641974 23.890750 27.454466 31.650560
2025-03-09 9.075095 12.051953 15.652133 20.286590 26.049872 32.933766 41.725837
2025-03-16 6.360489 9.395591 13.391145 18.947528 26.371814 35.836261 48.680923
2025-03-23 5.238048 8.439329 12.950767 19.616468 29.027570 41.626712 59.509959
2025-03-30 4.501083 7.826767 12.798712 20.533352 31.968138 47.905194 71.364183
2025-04-06 3.614317 6.788011 11.820591 20.055028 32.781149 51.209657 79.278601
2025-04-13 2.823088 5.730029 10.617845 19.020247 32.572808 52.924285 84.932646
2025-04-20 2.558258 5.521746 10.738525 20.054351 35.576408 59.530813 98.116366
2025-04-27 2.378480 5.430552 11.031048 21.378211 39.121011 67.165409 113.286466
2025-05-04 2.091987 5.074849 10.796370 21.753200 41.112803 72.478871 125.173320
2025-05-11 1.792603 4.630978 10.328898 21.644772 42.248696 76.461517 135.159454
2025-05-18 1.503832 4.147685 9.709456 21.170464 42.677824 79.275019 143.381154
2025-05-25 1.261421 3.733873 9.201489 20.915192 43.598097 83.181779 154.009385
2025-06-01 1.056992 3.365656 8.737837 20.706002 44.616608 87.392489 165.539745
2025-06-08 0.811194 2.820381 7.787143 19.369840 43.360001 87.515281 170.108281
2025-06-15 0.731344 2.706274 7.799208 20.056665 46.076404 94.895972 187.671242
2025-06-22 0.674156 2.642999 7.920905 20.992094 49.359448 103.504490 207.857900
2025-06-29 0.556388 2.357130 7.438903 20.504801 49.685839 106.628168 218.368153
2025-07-06 0.436502 2.020484 6.756521 19.450130 48.705727 107.181445 224.185683
2025-07-13 0.411133 2.006947 6.944531 20.504153 52.331047 116.832242 247.339538
2025-07-20 0.396640 2.030147 7.239458 21.853290 56.703475 128.182794 274.206815
2025-07-27 0.353618 1.928417 7.155610 22.235397 58.948718 135.428251 293.620467
2025-08-03 0.303136 1.777007 6.894578 22.124914 60.061843 140.449186 308.996758